Autocratic Ancestry, Democratic Dilemmas: Tracing Anti-Democratic Behavior in Authoritarian Successor Parties
Abstract
Why do some political parties descended from dictatorships accept democracy while others attack it? I argue that whether an authoritarian successor party accepts democracy depends less on the voters it faces than on whom it inherits from its predecessor regime: its “personnel endowment.” Successor parties inherit an exclusionary cadre of elites, whose convictions are least compatible with rule by popular consent, to the extent that their predecessor regimes built politics around loyalty to a leader rather than around impersonal institutions. In an original dataset of parties competing after second- and third-wave transitions, successors to more personalized regimes are more likely to reject the rules of electoral democracy. This effect is specific to successor parties, confined to rejection of democracy’s rules rather than its norms, and persists through the first two decades of democracy. Archival evidence from Chile shows how one regime’s endowment can split: elites formed in defense of the Pinochet regime concentrated in the intransigent UDI, while those formed in its 1980s political opening shaped the more reform-minded RN. The UDI deliberately reproduced its inheritance through selective recruitment, suggesting one explanation for the endurance of the personalization effect identified cross-nationally.